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Recorded events

Hail and wind recorded near San Clemente

Radar has picked up hail-bearing storm cells within ten miles of San Clemente on one day: 10 September 2021. Here is what was recorded, and what is worth checking as a result.

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What the radar recorded

The most recent detection was on 10 September 2021, about 5 years ago. Radar sized the largest stone in that cell at about 1.0 inches, at or above the one-inch line the trade treats as the threshold for claimable impact damage on asphalt. The nearest cell was about 5.8 miles away, which is close enough to be worth checking and far enough that it may have missed the house entirely.

Hail-bearing storm cells detected within 10 miles of San Clemente
DateLargest stone sized by radarNearest cellCells that day
10 September 20211.0 in5.8 mi2

The wind record

Over 5 years of daily records at this location, the highest modelled gust was about 54 mph, below the 58 mph severe threshold but well into the range that finds anything already lifted or loose. There were 22 days above 39 mph and 11 above 45 mph in that period, concentrated in January, February, and March.

Highest modelled daily wind gusts at San Clemente
DatePeak gust
16 February 202648 mph
24 December 202546 mph
14 March 202453 mph
1 February 202454 mph
21 March 202347 mph
25 February 202353 mph
12 April 202245 mph
14 December 202147 mph

The checks worth making

Granules where they should not be

A cupful of granules at the bottom of a downspout after a storm is not proof of impact — roofs shed granules as they age — but a sudden change is worth photographing with the date on it. What matters is the difference from last month, which is why photographing a sound roof now is not a wasted hour.

What the street is doing

If several roofs on the street are being worked on and yours is the same age and the same covering, that is a reason to have yours looked at. It is not a reason to assume you have damage, and a contractor who tells you the whole street is getting a new roof paid for by insurance is telling you something about themselves.

The ridge and the edges

Ridge caps sitting proud, a line of shingles along the rake that no longer lies flat, a lifted starter course at the eave: these are wind signatures, and each one is an opening for the next storm rather than a cosmetic complaint.

The soft metal, first

Start with the parts that bruise easily: gutter faces, downspouts, vent hoods, the aluminium trim. They are the network of soft targets around the roof, and they record a hail event more legibly than the shingles do. Clean metal is meaningful evidence.

Flashing, chimneys and skylights

Most storm leaks are not through the field of the roof. They are at a junction — a chimney, a skylight, a wall abutment, a valley — where something is meant to be sealed and is not any more. Wind opens those seams before it opens anything else.

Sources, and what they can and cannot tell you

Hail detections come from NOAA NCEI’s Severe Weather Data Inventory (NEXRAD product nx3hail) within 10 miles of San Clemente. Radar sizes hail in a storm cell; it does not observe what landed on any particular roof. Gust figures are daily maxima from the ERA5 reanalysis archive at this city’s coordinates, which is a model of the weather rather than a reading from an instrument in the neighbourhood. Both are useful for dates and for scale, and neither is evidence about your roof. Last refreshed 2026-08-31.

Questions after a storm

There was a storm near me. Do I have damage?

A recorded storm nearby is a reason to have the roof looked at, not evidence that anything happened to it. The useful first check costs nothing: dents in the soft metal around the roof, and a look in the attic on a bright day.

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